Category: Dossier Cuba 21 English

The United States’ opening up of fuel sales to Cuba’s private sector has created a new scenario in which GAESA is attempting to preserve its control over the business through MSMEs and intermediaries, while Washington accepts the challenge and increases its capacity to oversee the island’s energy supply. One of the dossier’s main contributions is the reconstruction of the financial circuit through which fuel is sold in Cuba.

In 2026, a different trend emerges: there are fewer, visibly under reported, crimes, in the current challenging circumstances, but those that are documented are considerably more lethal. The most alarming indicator is the trend in homicides. During the first six months of 2025, 63 homicides were documented. In the same period of 2026, there were 90, an increase of 42.9%.

Two American Interventions in Cuba brings together seven essays that critically examine one of the most controversial chapters in national history: the United States’ intervention in the Spanish Cuban War of 1898, the military occupation that led to the birth of the Republic in 1902, and the second U.S. intervention, which began in 1906 following the political crisis that threatened the newly established constitutional order. The book’s purpose is not to replace one dogmatic interpretation of history with another.

The new Treasury Department sanctions have significantly weakened GAESA’s financial and operational capacity by affecting not only the conglomerate itself but also those who attempt to act as its intermediaries; while the Cuban economy itself continues to lose its ability to sustain the tourism sector.

Cuba has hardened the Compulsory Military Service: it has reinforced the system’s coercive nature, tightened penalties against those who attempt to avoid it, and maintained an opaque system that has been the subject of numerous allegations of abuse, negligence, and the deaths of conscripts.

A nonviolent and purely Cuban solution has become impossible in the face of the ruling elite’s intransigence, In that context, making external intervention essential to prevent the nation’s physical demise.

The study by the Cuban Observatory of Citizen Auditing (OCAC) identifies a 115.11% increase in criminal activity in 2025 compared to 2024, and a 336.58% increase compared to 2023

The Cuban government is lying about the extent of the healthcare collapse in Cuba. The death toll would reach at least 8,700 fatalities. This shows that the state has lied again (as it did with the Covid epidemic) by claiming that only 47 deaths had occurred by mid-December. The reality is, at a minimum, 185 times greater.

GAESA—the real power in Cuba—has driven the country into the worst financial crisis in its history. Behind the façade of socialism, a military oligarchy controls more than 70% of the economy and 95% of the nation’s financial system, while the civilian government operates as little more than a puppet. Miguel Díaz-Canel has no control over the country’s finances.

Cuba’s interventionist policy is not a thing of the past. It is an active reality in the present, despite the colossal social and economic disaster that Cuba is currently experiencing.

The Cuban state has become a mafia-like actor operating at the heart of a transnational criminal network. The Cartel de los Soles was born and grew under this Cuban guidance. Cuba’s contribution to regional organized crime has been its strategic, military, and ideological advice in the creation and consolidation of the Cartel of the Suns, a drug trafficking organization that emerged in Venezuela.

The Cuban Observatory of Citizen Auditing (OCAC) documented 1,319 verified crimes between January and June 2025, almost five times more than in the same period in 2023 and more than all that happened throughout 2024. This represents an average of 7.3 crimes per day, evidencing an unprecedented escalation in crime and a diversification of criminal types.